MONITORING THE IMPACT OF AMBIENT OZONE ON HUMAN HEALTH USING TIME SERIES ANALYSIS AND AIR QUALITY MODEL APPROACHES

Javanmardi, Parviz and Morovati, Pouran and Farhadi, Majid and Geravandi, Sahar and Khaniabadi, Yusef Omidi and Angali, Kambiz Ahmadi and Taiwo, Adewale Matthew and Sicard, Pierre and Goudarzi, Gholamreza and Valipour, Aliasghr and De Marco, Alessandra and Rastegarimehr, Babak and Mohammadi, Mohammad Javad (2018) MONITORING THE IMPACT OF AMBIENT OZONE ON HUMAN HEALTH USING TIME SERIES ANALYSIS AND AIR QUALITY MODEL APPROACHES. FRESENIUS ENVIRONMENTAL BULLETIN, 27 (1). pp. 533-544. ISSN 1018-4619

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Abstract

This study examined the health impacts of O-3 in Ahvaz (Iran). Ozone data were obtained from the Iranian Environmental Protection Agency and the time series were analyzed while the health end-points from O-3 exposure were calculated using the Air Q model. The time series analysis showed that air pollutants levels were associated with five steps delay of O-3 and zero step delay of moving average ARMA (5, 0). The results of Air Q model revealed cumulative cases of cardiovascular mortality and myocardial infarction related to surface O-3. The number of cases attributable to O-3 exposure for cardiovascular mortality and myocardial infarction were estimated at 182 and 51 people per year, respectively. The finding of this study showed that, the distribution of O-3 data has a correlated structure over time. Ground-level O-3 was found to be positively correlated with an increased risk of cardiovascular mortality and acute myocardial infarction in Ahvaz.

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