Indirect estimation of child mortality using 2011 census data in the Islamic Republic of Iran

Mokhayeri, Yaser and Riahi, Seyed-Mohammad and Rafiei, Elahe and Asadgol, Zahra (2020) Indirect estimation of child mortality using 2011 census data in the Islamic Republic of Iran. EMHJ.

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Abstract

Background Child mortality rates are considered to be one of the key indicators of child health. Aims The main objective of this research was to calculate child mortality rates (CMRs) indirectly, using census data, and to investigate using spatial pattern analysis the presence of any clustering patterns among provincial regions. Methods The Trussell version of the Brass method and Coale–Demeny West model were used to estimate CMRs and life expectancy (LE) at birth. The analyses were performed using the QFive program of MORTPAK 4 software. For cluster analysis, local and global Moran’s I indexes were measured. Results Infant mortality rate, under-5 mortality rate, 1–4 mortality rate and LE at birth were estimated as 21.9, 26, 4.1 (deaths per 1000 live births) and 72.1 years, respectively. Global Moran’s I index was calculated as 0.09, 0.09, 0.08 and 0.12, respectively. Conclusion Special attention must be paid in provinces with high clusters regarding the evaluation of public health programmes, and the cause of failure of these programmes in reduction of childhood mortality indices. Keywords: child mortality rate, infant mortality rate, spatial clustering, Islamic Republic of Iran, life expectancy.

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